Abacus Data

Beneath the referendum sits a political landscape that is not what a province on the edge of leaving should look like. We asked Albertans about direction, about their leaders, and, for the second time since March, how they think each leader would vote on separation. Earlier this year, Abacus Data acquired Manitoba-based Probe Research, one […] The post Alberta at a Crossroads: A Liberal Prime Minister Is More Popular Than Alberta’s Own Premier appeared first on Abacus Data.

How will Albertans vote? We asked Albertans the separation question in the exact words that will appear on the ballot, then asked the people who would vote to commence the process a question no one else has asked: if the binding referendum came, would you actually vote to leave? Earlier this year, Abacus Data acquired […] The post Alberta at a Crossroads: Two-Thirds Will Vote to Stay, and a Vote to Proceed Is Not a Vote to Leave appeared first on Abacus Data.

Our latest national tracking survey was conducted from September 4 to 9, in a political environment that continues to be shaped overwhelmingly by Canada’s confrontation with the United States. Since our last survey, the Liberals swept three federal byelections on August 31, holding Beaches–East York and North Vancouver–Capilano and winning Chicoutimi–Le Fjord from the Bloc […] The post Liberals Open 14-Point Lead, Largest Since 2017, as Trump Continues to Dominate the Agenda appeared first on Abacus Data.

The latest wave of Abacus Data’s Ontario political tracking finds Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservatives have recovered some of the ground they lost in our last survey, although the improvement is modest rather than dramatic. Among committed voters, the PCs are at 42%, up two points from late July. The Ontario Liberals are at […] The post Ford PCs Regain Some Ground as Trump Trade Fight Returns to Centre Stage in Ontario appeared first on Abacus Data.